Wednesday, July 3, 2013

Global Turmoil On The Rise

Markets are mixed in early trading amid headlines pointing to escalating global turmoil.  The Egypt situation is quickly coming to a head.  Oil prices have topped $100 for the firs time in many months as worries grow that the political unrest in Egypt could affect the Suez Canal which would affect oil shipments from the Mideast.

Europe's markets are also lower across the board after a flare up in Portugal.  4 key govt officials have resigned or are expected to.  The country's benchmark 10-year yield spiked 126 basis points to 7.72%.  And Portugal's stock market is lower by more than 5% today.

We also have the continued concerns in China, where the services PMI data last night showed a further slowdown in economic activity.  India's PMI also fell to a 2-year low of 51.7.

The odd thing is that our stock markets aren't down more.  As of this post, the Dow is solidly in positive territory.  Optimists would probably point out that this is a positive sign that our markets have begun to decouple somewhat from Europe.  Others might say that our markets remain a bit complacent in the face of rising global tensions and slowing economic activity (Asia).

Our services PMI also fell to 52.5 this morning from 53.7 in May.  But the ADP employment report showed the private sector added 188k jobs in June, which was above expectations.  This report doesn't always correlate that well to Friday's govt payrolls report, so we will have to wait to see how that comes in.

The 10-year yield is flat near the 2.47% level.  And the volatility index touched the 16 level but bounced to 17 today before falling back closer to 16.50 currently.

Trading comment: The S&P 500 is right in the middle of an important range.  Yesterday it again failed to get above its 50-day average near 1624.  And recent support has come in around the 1600 level.  Right now the SPX is smack in the middle of those two hovering near 1612.  So it looks like if the SPX can get back above the overhead 50-day that would embolden the bulls to get aggressive again.  But if we can't hold that 1600 support level, then a more defensive posture remains in order.  I don't think its necessary to make big bets in advance until we see how this plays out. 

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Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Still Testing The Overhead 50-Day

The markets are higher again in early trading.  Yesterday the S&P 500 tested its overhead 50-day average but turned lower from there and closed around its mid-point of the day's trading range.  This morning it is once again testing that overhead 50-day average near SPX 1624.  Ditto the Dow and the Nasdaq 100.

The big news this morning was the EU and IMF telling Greece they have 3 days to prove it can fulfill its bailout conditions or risk not receiving its next tranche of aid.  Something tells me that this is going to be an ongoing issue for years with Greece.

The news has most European markets trading lower.  And Asian markets were mixed overnight.  The Reserve Bank of Australia held rates steady at 2.75%, but left the door open to rate cuts.  And Hong Kong retail sales grew less than expected at 12.8%.

The dollar is a little higher today leaving commodities mixed.  Oil prices are higher near $98.85 while metals are lower.  Gold prices are down to $1247 after yesterday's rally.  Silver and copper prices are also lower.

The 10-year yield is easing back below the 2.5% level to 2.48% currently.  And the volatility index has fallen back below the 16 level to 15.98 at present.  The declining VIX is a bullish sign if it can continue.

Trading comment: Three of the major indexes are still testing their overhead 50-day averages.  If they are able to close above them and stay there for a few sessions it would increase the likelihood that the market can make a stab at its yearly highs reached in May.  But that is definitely not a given.  It is also very possible that the market could continue to chop around in the summer months.  Second quarter earnings season starts soon and will surely color the landscape.  Our assessment is that expectations are running fairly low as earnings estimates have been trimmed in recent weeks.

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Monday, July 1, 2013

Monday Morning Musings

Markets are nicely higher on the first day of the new quarter, with the Dow up +150 points in early trading.  Of course, its still very early in the day so anything can happen by the close. 

There doesn't seem to be much news moving the market today, as it appears more like new money being put to work as the new quarter begins.  ONXX is up 50% after rejecting a takeover offer from AMGN.  And AAPL is up 2.8% afer reports that it registered the iWatch trademark in Japan.  It also got an upgrade and a $600 price target from Raymond James.

Asian markets were mixed overnight.  Japan was 1.3% higher after the economy minister said that the country's real economy is "clearly recovering".  In China, the HSBC manuf. PMI ticked down to 48.2 from 48.3, a level that points to continued contraction in the manuf. sector.

European markets are higher today.  Eurozone manuf. PMI rose to 48.8.  Most countries PMI indexes rose except for Germany which ticked down to 48.6.

After an 8-day win streak, the dollar index is slightly lower today.  That is helping most commodities.  Oil prices are higher to $98.  Gold prices are up near $1241.  And copper prices are bouncing sharply.

The 10-year yield hovered near the 2.50% level most of the first hour of trading.  It is currently at 2.49%.

The volatility index is 4.2% lower to 16.15.  The VIX has moved sharply lower since last week's spike near the 22 level.

Trading comment: We have been watching the overhead 50-day averages to see if they act as resistance on any bounces.  Right now the S&P 500 is up exactly at its 50-day at the 1624 level.  So this is a key test.  Sometimes it makes sense to look at some of the other indexes to see how they are trading in relation to their respective 50-day averages.  The Nasdaq, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 are all above their 50-days.  So that lends itself to the notion that the S&P 500 will be able to lift itself above its 50-day as well.  Lots of traders are looking for more of a correction in July.  But investor sentiment is already showing some bearish readings, so from a contrarian perspective the market could look to frustrate the bears once again.  We should know fairly soon.

KAM Advisors has long positions in AAPL

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Sunday, June 30, 2013

The Best Reasons Of Using Documents Scanner Hardware

By Marilyn Lawrence

With the trend towards modern methods and technology, all copy is moving from traditional print to more efficient and accurate digital forms. A number of businesses have incorporated electronic means of completing tasks and attending to specific organizational formalities. With the utilization of a fast and high quality documents scanner hardware a number of marketing and copying processes can be completed according to specified standards.

Modern companies are no longer keeping track of essential procedures and tasks by means of paperwork or filing as it is tedious, outdated, and contributes to a high rate of lost information. It is often difficult in more complex companies to keep track of orders and other operations where it is filed in the older systems. Scanners make it possible to compress and copy hard print into a digital form for efficiency and greater volumes of storage.

The hard copy is compressed and turned into a digital form where it can be easily edited and stored on a drive or the company servers. This type of technology offers one of the fastest ways of recording and keeping track of all types of data while adhering to environmentally friendly trends as less paper is used. A high quality machine will be able to accurately convert all forms of print.

The particular range of scanners should always be purchased from a reputable supplier. Small to large businesses may select from a wide range of machines available to suit every enterprise need and means for growth. A professional assessment of the features provided can assist in making the most suitable decision for all firm requirements.

The range includes color and the standard black and white copy depending on individual and company needs. There are also features enabling multiple scanning processes and the technology to deliver faster speeds with the greatest levels of accuracy. Assessing these properties can assist in making the best possible purchase decision.

The range of machines that have become available offer integrated features to be used in the home and the office. These involve scanning, printing, and the storage of different documents efficiently. Some of the beneficial properties include cost savings and fast results as paper use is cut down and all processes can be completed digitally.

The focus of every business is on achieving its objectives and remaining successful in industry, which means that technology that is reliable and efficient should be used. A number of benefits can be provided for companies making use of higher quality scanning systems because all processes are completed in a single machine regarding the conversion from print to digital. There is also the option to store and back up files on the computer.

The documents scanner hardware systems are available in a multitude of sizes and features. It can be difficult to select a machine that will meet with the specific requirements of a business and therefore consulting with knowledgeable persons in the industry can aid in suitable recommendations. Consider the cost effectiveness, reliability, efficiency, and the quality the technology can deliver when looking to purchase.

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Saturday, June 29, 2013

The Golden Rules Of Selling Gifts Online

By Aaron Small

Creating and maintaining an online gift store doesn't need to cost a lot of money. To help you get on track we have created a free helpful guide to show you what exactly you need to do in order to experience success.

You want to pick a section of the classifieds that will appeal to customers as they look through them when determining which section to advertise in. Post advertisements to the areas that have the most traffic and postings for the classifieds themselves. This will ensure that the audience you are targeting is reached.

You want the database that you have containing customer and competitor information to be maintained and up to date at all times. You should consider and take all the feedback that you get for your website and that is given to competing websites seriously. In order to compete in the market you should consider all of these data bases. They are worth it.

Every online gift business retailer knows December is the best time for sales. Businesses can expect up to a 15 to 17% increase in sales ranging from applications such as mobile and travel. If your goods are consistently selling well then these are seasonal increases you can count on!

Keep a working database of all the information that you can compile on your customers and competitors. Any kind of feedback on your site or from the competition should be catalogued and taken into consideration. All knowledge is worth having when it comes to these two.

Are you managing a blog on your site? You need to if you're going to sell a lot of gifts. It delivers value to your customers. It gives them a reason to come back even when they don't want to buy anything. Run a blog and run your competition out of business.

You can design your website yourself if you have the mind to channel the creativity you possess. You have to keep the experience of the uses in mind when you begin the design. The customer is the reason that you are creating the site. You want customers to have an easy time when they are trying to navigate the site. It will make the site incredible.

The best impression you want to make is the first impression. Your business is where this should apply as well. You want the proper image for your business to be projected with your website. You should keep the impression that it will make on customers in mind when you are creating your website. You want the gifts to be showcased on it. Regular updates to the contents and complying with sales regulations has to be done.

Analyzing your previous year's holiday sales can be a great place to start when ordering your holiday inventory. This will provide a guideline to how many gifts sold and which were the most popular gifts so you can be sure to remain well stocked.

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A List Of Gasoline Saver Tips

By Leonor Rivera

Drivers who are searching for gasoline saver results have numerous choices accessible. There are various routes for drivers to recover cash on gas and to get more miles out of their auto. Numerous routines to accomplish this objective barely take any cash and will bring about huge reserve funds. Generally an individual can obtain a savings of 20 percent or even more when purchasing gas.

One of the best ways to improve the gas mileage for a vehicle is to have a clean air filter. Many people who drive a car or truck rarely think to check to see if the air filter is dirty. The best option for a driver is to replace a stock air filter with a performance air filter. A performance air filter is designed for better air filtering to allow cleaner air into the engine.

A vehicle with any type of tire alignment issues will start to have tires display lopsided wear. Tires that start to have uneven wear will make the motor of the auto work much harder. Keeping the tires perfectly arranged can translate into a modest investment of something like 10 percent on gas purchases every month. A nearby merchant can effortlessly align any sort of automobile or truck. Arrangements additionally serve to keep the vehicle going straight when driving.

The most exceedingly awful path to influence gas mileage on an auto or truck is to have tires that are not completely swelled. The vast majority of the drivers who ignore upkeep on their auto likewise disregard to check the pneumatic stress. Assuming that tires have a force that is less than suggested, then fuel effectiveness drops by very nearly 3 percent. The best alternative is to over expand tires by ten percent.

A car which has a lost or damaged gas cap may also have reduced fuel economy. The reason the gas cap is essential is mainly because fumes may escape from the gas tank. A seepage of fumes will cause a problem with the burning of fuel fuel. One more reason the gas cap is essential is mainly because it helps prevent the fumes from getting out into the air and creating pollution.

The impatient people in the world can easily save money on the cost of gas by slowing down the speed of the vehicle. Fuel efficiency decreases considerably when a car exceeds posted highway speeds. Cars that are driving a maximum of 65 miles per hour will save 14 cents per gallon of gas. The best way for any driver to maintain this speed is to use the cruise control.

Braking too hard when arriving at a stop will destroy brake cushions and increment gas utilization. There are individuals who tailgate or are in a rush and press the brake frequently when driving. The best alternative for a driver is to utilize the brakes to back off, yet not reach a complete stop.

One last gasoline saver tip is to not let a vehicle idle. If a vehicle is at a stop or stuck in traffic, then the engine can be turned off to conserve fuel. Another tip is to not bother warming up the engine.

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The Wonderful World Of Web Hosting: How It Helps You

By Jude Michael

Perhaps you just registered your domain name and are know looking for a good web hosting company How do you get started? What are the qualities of a good web host? What makes one site reliable while another isn't? Well, you have come to the right place because the article below will put you on the path towards understanding what web hosting companies have to offer.

Be sure to check out the downtime your web host will have. Review their schedule for maintenance to see if you can handle your site being down during those times and for the specified duration. If the host is offline during peak hours more than once per month, you should probably keep searching for a higher quality host.

You should not rely on the web host to make sure your information is backed up. Make sure you have a consistent backup of all of your site information, in case technical issues arise. This is really important if you've spent a lot of time and energy doing SEO work.

Always back up content when using any type of hosting service. Even if your web host backs up your information automatically, take the time to make your own backups, so you do not risk losing all the work you have put in on search engine optimization.

What's the customer support of companies that you're considering like? You want to be sure that they are going to assist you in a professional and helpful manner. Getting a taste of the kind of customer service they provide beforehand can help you make the right choice and avoid grief later.

Make sure companies that you're considering will meet all of your needs. SSL certificates, software compatibility and email filtering are all useful applications that should be included in any basic service package.

Make sure that your domain name is registered by you and not your hosting provider so that you can keep it should you change providers. If you don't do this, you could risk losing your domain name to your host.

As you now know, novice site owners don't know where they should keep information about their site. Once you know about the various sorts of hosts, it will be easy to choose the best one. Use the information that you just read to single out only the most useful and reliable web hosting service.

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