Say Goodbye To 2012

The market is mixed in early trading.  The market first ticked lower after the open, but quickly found its footing and regained a bid to move higher.  There appears to be some hopes that some sort of "deal" will be cobbled together today, but that remains to be seen.  Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said discussions are "progressing", and Congress will remain in session all day.  Senator Corker said that he thinks they'll get something done, but there likely won't be meaningful deficit reduction.  I agree that if anything...

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Stocks Lower Again As Deal Hopes Fade

The market is lower again in early trading as hopes for a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff fade.  The market did get a pop from its early lows when a headline came across that Obama was going to propose a new plan which would scale back budget plans and renew tax cuts for all but top earners.  But this headline isn't really new, and I suspect the positive reaction will fade.Although the action has been negative lately as hopes for a deal fade, longer term it might work out better as whatever deal that gets reached will have had more time...

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Stocks Give Back December Gains

The market is lower again in early trading after Senator Harry Reid says it is unlikely they will get something done to avoid the fiscal cliff before year end.  Stocks ticked lower on this headline, despite the President making calls to all 4 key Congressional leaders to try to get updates.In addition to the fiscal cliff talks, under the radar is the fact that Treasury Sec Geithner said the country's debt limit will again be hit by December 31st.  They sure didn't buy themselves much time last August when they raised the debt ceiling. ...

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Deal Enthusiam Fading

The market had been running higher into last week on what seemed like optimism that Congress would get something done to avoid the fiscal cliff.  With 3 days left on the calendar in 2012, that optimism is fading into pessimism.  The market opened on a flat note this morning, but has since started to fade into negative territory.So far, materials stocks are outperforming while consumer discretionary stocks are really lagging.  The early reports for holiday sales don't seem as robust as hoped for.  I heard that McDonald's was...

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Volatility Spikes On Fiscal Cliff Delay

In case you have been on the moon the last 18 hours, House Speaker Boehner cancelled last night's vote on the "Plan B" idea for the fiscal cliff.  Global markets responded negatively to the news, and last night the Dow futures were down nearly 250 points.  Currently, the market has bounced a bit from the morning lows but the Dow is still down around 170 points as of this post.  Hard to call this one ahead of the holiday weekend.  Either we see some short covering and the market rallies a bit from here, or folks throw in the...

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Oracle Buys Eloqua: Expanding Marketing Footprint

Eloqua's Fit in the Oracle Application PortolioEloqua is being brought in as the 'centerpiece of the marketing cloud' solution within the broader Customer Experience Cloud offering.  The Customer Experience Cloud is Oracle's comprehensive go-to-market strategy for its CRM offerings that it introduced in mid-2012.  Additionally, Eloqua will be leveraged with integrations to Fusion CRM and ultimately extended into vertical offerings.  There is overlap with the previously acquired Market2Lead product in terms of campaign capabilities...

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Quick Take: Morning Look

Markets are roughly flat in early trading.  Yesterday the markets really tailed off at the end of the day and ended on a weak note.  It's interesting that there is usually at least one big down day during the week of options expiration, so maybe yesterday was that day.I'm a little surprised the market didn't bounce more on some of the positive economic data we got.  That could indicate some more weakness later in the day.  And as we get closer to Friday volume levels should tail off as people leave to take a long holiday weekend. ...

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Climbing The Wall of Worry

I'm getting a late start today as I had to take the kids to school this morning, which cuts into market hours when you're on west coast time.  Unfortunately I am on drop-off duty for the rest of the week as well.  So my morning comments are likely to be truncated for the remainder of the week.Stocks added to their weekly gains yesterday with a nice rally that came on rising volume.  No real progress has been made on the fiscal cliff talks, but the market continues to climb the proverbial wally of worry.  I remain concerned...

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Talks Stall, But Stocks Still Looking For 'Cliff' Agreement

Stocks rallied nicely yesterday, and so far today have been adding to those gains.  It seems a bit odd that Congressmen keep coming on TV to say that they are still a ways apart on the fiscal cliff stuff but the market continues to rally as if an agreement is imminent.I think there are two things to keep in mind.  One is the potential for a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' type of event where the market rallies in anticipation but if a deal gets announced the market sells off.  The other is that not all agreements are created equal. ...

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Monday Morning Musings

The market is higher in early trading after the 2-day pullback seen at the end of last week.  I prefer a market that opens weak and ends strong, so let's see if the early gains can hold until the end of today's trading session.The fiscal cliff talks continue.  House Speaker Boehner offered a tax hike for top earners (over $1M) if new revenue was met with spending cuts.  But the White House rejected  the offer, so even though discussions continue I'm not sure how much headway is being made.In M&A news, Caribou Coffee (CBOU)...

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Looking For A Pause In The Action

The markets are mixed in early trading after yesterday's rally faded.  The Fed came thru with their version of QE4 as many had expected.  The markets, which were already up on the day, extended their rally a bit but as we headed into the close sellers emerged and stocks began to fade.  By the close the market had given up almost all of its gains.  This increases the likelihood that after a multi-day advance the market is due for a little breather.In corp news, Best Buy (BBY) is bouncing again on news that founder Richard Shultz...

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More QE On The Way?

Markets are mixed in early trading in subdued volume ahead of today's FOMC announcement and Bernanke press conference.  The Fed's "Operation Twist" is set to expire so many expect a new program of bond buying to be announced today.  It is debatable if the market has been running more on expectations of more quantitative easing (QE) or hopes of a fiscal cliff agreement.Folks should be careful about wishing for a hastily reached fiscal cliff agreement.  Although the markets might breath an initial sigh of relief, if the terms...

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No Cliff Calamity: That's What Stocks Are Correctly Predicting

Despite all the media hullabaloo about the fiscal cliff and a potential recession if none of the Bush tax cuts are extended, stock markets have behaved calmly throughout this whole period. In fact, as of this writing today, the Dow is up 100 points. I’m gonna guess that stocks, in their wisdom, are correctly sniffing that there will be no calamitous falling off the cliff. By that I mean there will be no $500 billion tax hike, which would be an economy...

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Bulls Get Back On The Offensive

The market is trading nicely higher this morning.  There hasn't been any huge catalyst to boost stocks this morning, so most likely it is just continued optimism that fiscal cliff won't be as bad as feared as well as a technical buy signal with SPX retaking its overhead 50-day average.The Nasdaq is leading the action this morning, with the tech sector up 1.7% led by Apple.  AAPL is trying to put in a double bottom after three tests of the $520 level that held.  This morning its up $18 so far and trying to get back to $550. ...

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#CMOFact: IDC 2013 Marketing Investment Planner

With 2012 coming to an end, for many businesses planning for 2013 will bleed into the New Year. Marketers are no exception; in anticipation of the planning cycle each year, the CMO Advisory Service publishes our annual Marketing Planner in August/September, developing the B2B tech industry's leading marketing (and sales) benchmarking study. To anyone familiar with the industry, you are probably used to hearing that Marketing is transforming. What is so exciting about our Marketing Planner is we are able to provide specific guidance on changes,...

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Monday Morning Musings

Markets are slightly higher in early trading, led by healthcare stocks while financials are lagging so far.Food stocks are getting a bounce after McDonalds (MCD) posted a better than expected +2.4% increase in global same store sales.  Expedia (EXPE) is lower after being the latest company to report a special dividend.  Normally a stock pops higher on this news.In M&A news, Intermec (IN) is 22% higher after being acquired by Honeywell (HON) for $10 per share.  And Nexen (NXY) is 15% higher after getting Canadian approval ...

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Customer Focus All Ways.

A retail chain revamps its design and there is much back-slapping and pronouncement.Sarah Doyle, marketing director of Eat says, "We are very excited to be unveiling EAT.’s new look which we feel reflects the core principles on which our brand was originally founded. It is modern and stylish, yet also has a natural, simple and handcrafted feel, which reflects the essence of our food. The new design marks the start of a new stage of growth and expansion...

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Surprise Slowdown In Germany

Nonfarm payrolls for November came in nicely ahead of consensus estimates, but the enthusiasm among stock buyers was short-lived and the market was back at the flat line in the first hour of trading.  Payrolls gained 146,000 last month vs. estimates for 90,000.  Also surprisingly the unemployment rate dropped to 7.7% from 7.9% last month.  I haven't parsed the figures but my guess is much of that decline is due to a continued drop in the labor force.  I haven't seen any big hiring announcements in the news, other than temporary...

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Start Making Sense.

So, British Airways serve in-flight croissants. It's hardly a deal-clincher is it? And not just because we all know what fast-food croissants inevitably taste like. But when they go on to describe a light breakfast in such ridiculously overblown and patronising language, you have to wonder if they got the memo about treating customers as sentient human beings. Guilt-free friend indeed. Too fly to serve more like. ...

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All Eyes On Apple

The market was lower in early trading but has since bounced back into positive territory.  The Nasdaq lagged yesterday mostly due to the weak performance in AAPL shares.  AAPL has captivated investors interest lately, as many wonder if the stock is "done"?I think that AAPL is just going through a normal correction after a huge run.  No one points out the fact that AAPL was up roughly 75% for the year in September, which is a huge move.  It has also become heavily owned by hedge funds, so the selling and angst over this pullback...

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NEW Special Report: State of the Painting Industry

We are gearing up for a great 2013.  LOTS of painting business marketing tips and business growth advice to share.For now head over to www.StartAPaintingBusiness.com and take advantage of the December discount price on the #1 Rater Painting for Profits program.  (It will become your step-by-step internal operations manual.) I'm in the process of finishing up a brand new special report called: "2013 The State of the Painting Industry... " Insider Strategies for Positioning Your Painting Business at the TOP of Your Market.I'll post a link...

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Brand Strategy Reminders, Regardless of the Size of Your Company

There was something for everyone at MassTLC's recent marketing seminar - "On Brand: What Does it Take?"; if you're building a brand at a $1B+ company like PTC, or fighting your way up the ladder at a smaller company like Actifio or Verivo Software. Here are some of my keys take-aways:1.  Something for everyone to learn (or to be reminded of)You need buy-in from executives:  The CEO and his/her team need to admit that there's a problem with your brand strategy, and they're on-board to fix it.Be realistic about the costs involved...

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New Party In China Promises Reforms

Our markets are lower again in early trading.  Traders are selling shares of AAPL which seems to be weighing on the Nasdaq the most.  One brokerage firm raised margin requirements on AAPL, but that doesn't seem to account for this much weakness.  AAPL has been down nearly 5% this morning.  I think the technical action in AAPL is not that out of the ordinary and would be a better buyer on the weakness vs. seller.Asian markets were higher across the board overnight after China's new political party promised more economic reforms. ...

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Stalling At Resistance

Some of the major indexes ran into their overhead 50-day averages yesterday and were turned away.  The S&P 500 reversed lower and basically closed at its lows for the day.  That made for an outside reversal day to the downside, which often indicates some further near-term weakness.Overnight, Asian markets were mostly lower.  The Reserve Bank of Australia lowered its key interest rate 25 basis points to 3.00%.  I'm not sure the RBA would have cut rates again if it thought China has bottomed, but the move did little to...

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Jual Ulat Kandang (Ulat Super Balap)

Berbagai macam pakan yang dapat menunjang performa dan kesehatan pada burung kicauan, salah satunya yaitu Ulat Kandang atau Ulat Balap. Bentuk fisik ulat kandang lebih kecil  dari ulat hongkong dan warna kulitnya berwarna coklat. Bagi anda yang membutuhkan ulat kandang baik untuk pakan burung anda ataupun untuk dijual di toko pakan anda, maka dengan ini kami menyediakan ulat kandang dengan jumlah yang sangat besar.Rincian harga adalah sebagai...

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Monday Morning Musings

Back in the saddle after being out of the office at the end of last week.  The markets finished the week on a slightly positive note in that the gains from earlier in the week held.  Now we have the tests of the overhead 50-day averages to deal with.This morning the markets were higher in the first hour of trading, but have faded a bit after the first test of their 50-day averages.  There also hasn't been a lot in the way of market moving news.Some of the wind behind the gains faded after the November ISM data came in worse than...

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Stocks Ride The Political Roller Coaster

Yesterday the market was rallying on perceptions that progress was being made on the fiscal cliff.  Then Harry Reid came on tv and said the sides are still far apart.  That caused a market swoon right away.  This morning the markets opened very weak but then Boehner spoke with more comments about being flexible on tax rates and the market rallied a quick 100 points.That is a huge amount of volatility on just political rhetoric.  But I don't think it is going away in the short-term.  I expect a lot more back and forth and...

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The Low ROI Of Narcissists.

I've long been a sceptic of the value of Facebook Likes and Twitter retweets as measures of anything but the narcissism of the people clicking on the butons.It's largely been a gut-feeling that's occasionally backed up by anecdotal evidence. Take, for example, the experience of the well-known blogger who was delighted to receive a huge number of retweets of his tweet announcing a new blogpost and slightly less delighted to realize later that those retweets outnumbered the aggregate number of page-views the post received in the following week.So,...

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Do Stocks Have More Gas Left In The Tank?

The market is mixed to lower in early trading, with the first early dip attracting buyers.  Yesterday the S&P 500 was down as much as 12 points but rallied back late in the day to close down only 3 points.  That's not too much of a give back following the outsized gains from Thanksgiving week.  The question is do stocks have any gas left in the tank?  If the market was in a more bearish mode, we would have seen a bigger pullback already from last week's gains.  But the action so far looks more like consolidation. ...

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Monday Morning Musings

After one of the best weeks for the market last week, stocks are pulling back in early trade this morning.  The market had become quite oversold coming into last week, so a bounce was not unexpected.  But now that we have seen a big bouce, we will have to see if more profit taking sets in or if buyers will look to add more stocks into month end which occurs this week.There is not much market moving economic news this morning.  In corporate news, AAPL is bouncing after a Citi upgrade and a $675 price target.  Facebook (FB) is...

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US Stocks Open Flat Despite Overnight Bounce in Asia

US stock markets are hovering near the flat line in early trading.  There hasn't been too much news, and I would expect that trading today would be relatively light ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday.  On Friday the market will only be open a half day.In economic news, the Univ of Mich consumer sentiment survey for November slid to 82.7 from its preliminary reading of 84.9.  The latest weekly jobless claims figures totaled 410,000 which is down from last week's total of 451,000.Overnight Asian markets rallied despite some weak Japan...

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Are Stocks Catching Their Breath After Monday's Rally?

The markets are roughly flat in early trading following yesterday's solid rally.  Stocks rallied both Friday and Monday, so its rational for them to take a breather.  The question for investors is whether stocks are just catching their breath before another push to the upside or if the last 2 day rally was just a breather from the recent downtrend action?  I think the markets still have some more upside, though I don't see us getting back to the highs of the year.This morning both BBY and HPQ are making new lows after reporting disappointing...

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Monday Morning Musings

The markets are nicely higher in early trading, with the Dow up 150 points following strength on Friday's close and rallies in overseas markets last night and this morning.Israel has said it may increase its assault on the Gaza strip, and that has oil rallying another $2 to $89.  But that has not derailed the rally in stocks so far this morning.  One thing that concerns me a bit is that I never like to see very strong opens as that leaves a lot of time during the trading session for sellers to emerge knock down the market.  I prefer...

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Oversold Nazz Looks Due For A Bounce

The market is lower once again in early trading as this market continues to trade heavy and just can't seem to bounce.  Bearish sentiment is on the rise, which should help the market bounce at some point.  Also, the Nasdaq has been down 6 straight weeks so it looks overdue for a bounce as well.Fears about the fiscal cliff continue to manifest themselves in the form of high dividend paying stock getting hit the hardest.  Today telecom stocks are getting sold off, and the utilities sector has already seen heavy selling.  I think...

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FutureM: For Marketers, Times They are a Changin’

I attended FutureM in Boston a few weeks ago and the main take away was: Marketing is changing quickly and organizations must grow and adapt, otherwise they will fall behind.IDC’s CMO Advisory Service has been advising this for some time, but as I read more blogs and attend more marketing based events like FutureM, the reality of overarching change is becoming obvious. IDC’s data points to this as well; investment in Digital Marketing within the Enterprise Tech industry has increased from 12.6% of budgets in 2009 to 29.2% by the end of 2012* -...

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